January 23, 2004
No one is humming Happy Days Are Here
Again, but solid earnings reports Thursday from America West
and Southwest airlines and forecasts for even better times
this year add to the growing evidence that the low-fare end
of the industry is in its best shape since the terrorist
attacks.
Tempe-based America West reported its third consecutive
quarterly profit and its best fourth-quarter showing since
1999. The airline earned $6.8 million in the
October-December period, compared with a loss of $52 million
in the same period a year earlier. Sales rose nearly 8
percent, to $554 million.
Wall Street analysts had forecast a quarterly loss. The
company said sharply lower costs, from cost cutting and
flying its planes more frequently, were the main driver.
"We are simply elated with these results and excited
about our future," America West Chairman and Chief Executive
Officer Doug Parker said in a conference call with analysts.
For the year, America West reported earnings of $57.4
million on sales of $2.2 billion, vs. a net loss of $388
million on sales of $2 billion in 2002. The annual results
were helped by $81.3 million in government rebates of
security fees.
Still, America West workers will receive profit-sharing
payouts for the first time since 1999. The checks, equal to
5 percent of pay, will go out Tuesday to 5,600 non-union
workers, the company said.
Southwest, which has remained relatively strong
throughout the turmoil, never reporting a loss, had net
income of $66 million, up 57 percent from $42 million a year
ago. Its costs rose, but average fares were up. Sales rose
8.3 percent, to $1.52 billion.
"For the first time in three years, we're starting a year
with an improved outlook," said Gary Kelly, chief financial
officer of Southwest, the second-largest carrier at Sky
Harbor International Airport after America West, with more
than 180 daily departures.
Both airlines have ambitious growth plans this year.
Southwest is adding 29 planes to its fleet, for a growth
rate of nearly 8 percent. Southwest adds Philadelphia to its
route system in May with 14 daily flights. It's the airline
's first new city since Norfolk, Va., was added in October
2001.
"We are well-prepared financially to resume our more
traditional capacity growth rate and tackle a major new
market like Philadelphia," Kelly said. America West plans to
grow by 8 percent to 10 percent, with 60 percent coming from
new cross-country service that bypasses Phoenix and Las
Vegas hubs and 40 percent from increases out of the hubs.
All eyes are on its new transcontinental service, which
debuted in October. America West offers non-stop flights
between New York and San Francisco and Los Angeles and
Boston. Boston-San Francisco service starts March 1.
The new service, which treads on business-travel-heavy
routes long dominated by industry giants such as American,
ignited a nasty fare war, the depths of which America West
did not expect. Round-trip fares as low as $158 are out
there. Business travelers can go at the last minute for as
low as $159 each way.
Despite the rock-bottom fares, America West said it still
broke even on the routes in its second month and plans to
announce additional cross-country service soon.
Parker said competitors' fares are designed to drive
America West out of those markets, something it has no plans
to do.
America West's stock, which soared last year, closed
Thursday at $12.69, up just 3 cents a share despite the
surprise profit.
Goldman Sachs airline analyst Glenn Engel said America
West's results were "terrific," but that some investors were
concerned that its fare momentum is slowing.
Southwest rose 39 cents, to $15.49.
Market influences
Airlines like America West and Southwest are reporting
improved earnings.
Factors in the airlines' favor:
- Economy is rebounding.
- Shrewd cost cutting is paying off.
- Demand for new flights.
Factors working against the airlines:
- High fuel prices.
- Still sluggish business travel.
- Heavy fare discounting.
This article originally appeared in the Arizona
Republic on January 23, 2004 and was written by Dawn
Gilbertson.